Sajha.com Archives
Strategy 101: Score for Maoists

   However strongly I disagree with the Mao 05-Nov-00 ashu
     Hi Ashu: I read your article in Kanti 05-Nov-00 Biswo
       >Hi Ashu: > >I read your article in Ka 05-Nov-00 Trailokya Aryal
         sorry, I left out something in the first 05-Nov-00 Trailokya Aryal
           >I had always heard that history repeats 05-Nov-00 Biswo


Username Post
ashu Posted on 05-Nov-00 11:22 AM

However strongly I disagree with the Maoists,
I am beginning to have grudging respect for
their Strategy Team.

The collective IQ of the Maoist Strategists seems
considerably higher than that of Girija's
Hanu.maans.

Consider, for example, the Maoists' strategic
accomplishments in the last three days:

a) they got two of their comrades freed. No telling
what this will do to boost their collective morale.

b) through the freed comrades, the Maoists now have
access to info about their other stiill-in-jail
comrades.

c) using what turned out to be a 'bogus' press conference' against the government, they have
succeeded in painting the government as an
entity NOT to be trusted with -- a sentiment
that resonates positively with many segments
of Nepali population.

d) Because the mediator Padma Ratna Tuladhar has
now washed his hands off mediation -- blaming the
government for "deceit and being unreliable",
the Maoists have been able to swing Tuladhar's
position as another avenue to generate support
for themselves!!

Ironically, it's the Maoists who have now
claimed a higher (gasp, choke!!) moral
ground!!

Meantime, what did Girija's Hanu.maans accomplish?

They are now reduced to:

a) being defensive about their strategies.
b) blaming one other.
c) feeling stupid about letting two Maoist leaders
get away for the government's BAD publicity.

I mean, how stupid and incompetent can Girija and
his Hanumaans get? And this is all in the course
of an "informal kura-kani" . . .

As a Nepali citizen, I find it frustrating that
the team that's fighting the wrong war deploys
BETTER strategies than the one ostensibly
pushing the cause of democracy.

oohi
ashu







Here are the three wins they have scored:
Biswo Posted on 05-Nov-00 12:33 PM

Hi Ashu:

I read your article in Kantipur Koseli about NH primary
and I think that is a good attempt from you.

As about this article:I have one clear disagreement
with you in this point:


>b) through the freed comrades, the Maoists
>now have
>access to info about their other stiill-in-
>jail
>comrades.
>

Come on, the jailed rebels may not have seen the sun,
let alone their other comarades.Do you think the jail
that keeps these rebels is like primary school where
they congress at least once in a day? I am sure you
have read Dickens " The tales of two cities".The
rebels were probably put in a dungeon like that of the
novel.

Another irony here is: what kind of government we are
having? The government produced the two rebels in front
of the journalists, that means the government tacitly
concurred it has kept them in custody.So the question
arises: does the government have legal right to keep
them without legally having any case against them?
Another question is: were they provided the access to
the lawyers that our reverred constitution guarantees
to every citizen of Nepal?
Trailokya Aryal Posted on 05-Nov-00 02:36 PM

>Hi Ashu:
>
>I read your article in Kantipur Koseli about
>NH primary
>and I think that is a good attempt from you.

Hi! ashu dai, I read it too. Didn't know you could write that well in nepali too. I have been reading your messages in English for the last 4 years in Deja board and in here (since the past month as I wasn't aware of the existance of this site).

And, regarding the Maosists strategy:-

I had always heard that history repeats itself, but hadn't even in my wildest dream thought that this would actually happen~! The recent maoist strategy of "negotiation" etc. is exactly the same as the strategies used by the CCP. They would agree to talk, negotiate, co-operate with the Nationalist government and for the most part manage to get what they wanted. The result--Formation of the PRC in 1949.

I guess its about time for our leaders to take a class on Chinese hostory to learn how to negotiate with the maoists. No, I am not saying they should make the same mistakes as the Nationalists leaders did, but they should learn not to make those same mistakes. Then only, a peaceful solution for this ongoing People's war is possible.

Biswo ji, kasto lagyo? thik lagena bhane kunai sankoch bina aafno dharana byakta garnu hola. [ni xiang shen me? ]
Trailokya Aryal Posted on 05-Nov-00 02:43 PM

sorry, I left out something in the first paragraph, so here it is again.
please read it as

>Hi! ashu dai, I read it too. Didn't know you
>could write that well in nepali too. I have
>been reading your messages in English for
>the last 4 years in Deja board and in here (
>since the past month as I wasn't aware of
>the existance of this site) and never seen you write in Nepali. Its a good thing to start and I hope you will continue writing in nepali too.

>And, regarding the Maosists strategy:-
>
>I had always heard that history repeats
>itself, but hadn't even in my wildest dream
>thought that this would actually happen~!
>The recent maoist strategy of "negotiation"
>etc. is exactly the same as the strategies
>used by the CCP. They would agree to talk,
>negotiate, co-operate with the Nationalist
>government and for the most part manage to
>get what they wanted. The result--Formation
>of the PRC in 1949.
>
>I guess its about time for our leaders to
>take a class on Chinese hostory to learn how
>to negotiate with the maoists. No, I am not
>saying they should make the same mistakes as
>the Nationalists leaders did, but they
>should learn not to make those same mistakes.
> Then only, a peaceful solution for this
>ongoing People's war is possible.
>
>Biswo ji, kasto lagyo? thik lagena bhane
>kunai sankoch bina aafno dharana byakta
>garnu hola. [ni xiang shen me? ]
Biswo Posted on 05-Nov-00 05:00 PM

>I had always heard that history repeats
>itself, but hadn't even in my wildest dream
>thought that this would actually happen~!
>The recent maoist strategy of "negotiation"
>etc. is exactly the same as the strategies
>used by the CCP. They would agree to talk,
>negotiate, co-operate with the Nationalist
>government and for the most part manage to
>get what they wanted. The result--Formation
>of the PRC in 1949.

>Biswo ji, kasto lagyo?

Well, I think you are right about Maoist emulating the
CCP tactics.The international war strategy of Maoists
is basically still the same that Mao once formulated,
that retreat when enemy attacks, follow and attack
enemy when its vigour diminishes..etc(not verbatim).

There is another point: those communists who think
emulating Mao strategy is better for Nepal than those
who touts that of Lenin's always impressed Nepalese
more.Mao's China was because of peasants participation
in the revolution, Lenin's was because of laborers
and workers participation.Nepal ,obviously ,has raw
materials for Maoist type of strategy with its vast
population of peasants.

Now, one point about NC leaders/UML readers, they are
doing what shouldn't be done.They are almost falling in
trap (should I use martial term 'ambush' here?) of
our pugnacious Maoist brethren.The dossier of govt
manuever against them includes:

1.Failed Kiloshera two, that galvanized a significant
part of the western region's population against govt.

2.Withdrawal of security men from villages: once withdrawn, it will
take an eon to reinstate them.How the feeling of
security will be provided to those who are gradually
becoming disenchanted with the local ruler(Maoists)?

3.Army mobilization: An implicit recognition that
nation's 50000+ polic force is routed by the
ragtag army of rebels.

4.Withheld elections: Elections are either not held on
time, or held with only around twenty percentage of
official turn out.(It is also likely that the police
men and election officers themselves cast some votes.)



Until the democratic forces in the nation are as
corrupt and as disoriented as KMT in China, the
result will be a successful emulation of whole saga.
However, there is still plenty of time, and ,as you
pointed out, the leaders can read and rectify
themselves.

Biswo N Poudel