| Username |
Post |
| manashalu |
Posted
on 19-Jun-02 04:15 AM
Now, in nepali politics, there are two 'nepali congress' parties. One is already registered in Election Commission and other is also in process of to be registered in Election Commision.
In a similar case when the United Peoples’ Front Nepal (UPFN) had spilt, the Election Commission giving its decision on the complaint filed against Dr. Baburam Bhattarai, leader of the UPFN break away faction had clarified that the faction commanding the majority in the central working committee of the party would have the right over the party flag and the election symbol. After losing the election symbol and the party flag Dr. Bhattarai spearheaded the so-called popular movement of the Maoists.
The mainstream Congress has been claiming from the very outset that the General Convention convened at the initiative of Prime Minister Deuba does not hold any legality. According to lawyers close to the mainstream Congress, the House of Representatives Election Act states that the party needs to notify the Election Commission fifteen days ahead before amending the party’s statute. The disgruntled congressmen have violated this provision, the lawyers said.(nepalnews.com)
It appears that nepali politics has been taking interesting mode now. What will happen if one faction of nepali congress(whether deuba or girija faction) possibly deuba faction(?) will be declared illegal by election commission and can not participate in election ? Today is the last date for political parties to be registered in election commission.
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| HahooGuru |
Posted
on 19-Jun-02 06:38 PM
Captain has registered Nepal Sanatan Party, and that will be used
as the Deoba Faction 's party. This is one option. The other option
will be Girija desperately needs govt. to use the media in his part,
as Kantipur is sideling with Deoba, it will be very difficult for Giirja
Bhajan Mandali to reach to peoples, its because Nepali Congress
does not have low level dedicated cadres as UML has. So, they
need govt. utilities as an equivalent to UML's low level young cadres.
As you know the "young" cadres are machine in a party, which
helps party propaganda to reach to public. I remember in 2036 when
I was just teen ager, but, did a lot of campaign in favor of
Bahudal in my ward, with posters taken from Bahudal walllas,
peoples were very much surprised and responsive. We used the
used engine oil as wall paints, and painted walls as it happen in
KTM's colleges. We asked peoples to close the shops (bhayeka
2 char wota shops), they did help us, but, we never threatened
them to vandalize it, because we knew every one, but, we did
a lot of campaigns and prachars, discussions in those tea shops.
Finally, our ward was divided into two parts mathillo tole bahudal
and tallo tole nirdal..... The nirdal-group used sticks, and other tricks
to abuse our friends, and at the end, the division is still there and
now, we have turned our (mathillo tole into) selves in kangressi
and UML samarthak, but, the tallo tole still occupied by Surya Bahadur's
RPP.
What I want to say is that the low level cadres make a big sense in any
election around the world, except in dictators where everything is
controlled by state forces, and now, Sher B. Deoba has chances to
win using the state forces, by supressing the UML's low level cadres
(via emergency( and exploiting the voids of Girija 's low level cadres.
All these scenario clearly tells that Girija will give a graceful return
signal to Deoba not less than 2 months before the election. Till then,
girija gang will be studying the possibilities without the help of Deoba,
and once they realization matches my predictions/analysis, Girija will
make a drama and let Deoba return to NC main stream.
Lets keep on watching.
HG
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| jhor |
Posted
on 19-Jun-02 08:07 PM
Hahoo dai,
Don`t you think that the fate of Deuba will be same as that of Bam Dev?I think one positive thing that has come due to the political situation and peoples`s view regarding politics is that now people are less tolerant to parties and this has resulted in decrease in committed votes for all. This means that there will be more swing votes in every election. This would itself play as a check and balance for all. As regards legitimacy of Deuba`s bhela, it is like for example people of sajha gathering together writing a new constitution and declaring nepal a republic. Will it be legitimate? Comments are welcome.
Jhor
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| HahooGuru |
Posted
on 19-Jun-02 08:54 PM
Dear Jhor Bhai,
Here, Deoba is trading his position as PM, and this make him
powerful in Nepal's ugly elections. Bam Dev did not have chances to
manipulate elections, but, as you might know the local election conducted
by Bam Dev, how he was successful in manipulating it and his ML
cadres were occupying all key postions starting from KTM Mayor.
It matters where you are, it hardly matters in Nepal, what is your
political philosophy is. This is my understanding. That I want to be
made wrong by peoples, but, Nepalis are still not clever enough
like Indians, who ousted Indira Gandhi in 1977 election. But, Deoba
is now bringing peace with the help of Army, at a time, when
Maoists have lowest support in nationwide context, and last time
Deoba ran Killer .. shera .. which happened when peoples had
a lot of faith on Maoists, but, these years Maoists have went to
peak and now slidding down, more precisely spiraling down. Deoba
is getting public support: psychological thing that if they don't elect
him, Maoists will again come to street and abuse them, and .....
all these things will help Deoba. Deoba will join nepal congress at least
2 months before the election, and in any case it fails, he will join
within a 2 weeks, it is 100% sure, because Bam Dev drama at UML
has given a big lesson to all parties. This break is temporary and
who and who will loss in this drama is yet difficult to understand.
I see one of the biggest loser will be Wagle and JP Gupta.
Khume will be given same welcome as Deoba, because of their
influence in western Nepal.
Lets keep on watching.
HG
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